"Dataset" "type" "Mean Change, 2009-2018 vs. 1951-2018" "Mean change, in SD units" "1" "NCEP1" "local" "0.67" "0.25" "2" "NCEP1" "global" "0.67" "2.02" "3" "CMIP5-raw" "local" "0.88" "0.34" "4" "CMIP5-raw" "global" "0.88" "2.22" "5" "CMIP5-eq. sample" "local" "0.85" "0.28" "6" "CMIP5-eq. sample" "global" "0.85" "2.08"